Predicting who will be
the next President has all the pundits, pollsters, and pulpit pounders
preoccupied. The first debate will be on and gone, and how many Gooding
County-ites will watch that debate is hard to guess.
It
is harvest time, and everybody is busting their backsides from before daylight
until after dark. They don’t have time to watch the news, so they listen on AM
& FM.
Most
Idahoans are dismayed that the polls say what they do, and some are hoping for
an October Surprise. Naturally, so am I, because I guessed that Romney would
prevail. If he doesn’t, we are all going to be singing along with Don McLean to
the tune of ‘Bye Bye, Miss American Pie’.
In
2008 John McCain got 3,764 votes in Gooding County. Obama got 1,485 votes,
which is about how many people work for the government in Gooding County, give
or take a thousand.
The
2010 Census had the total population of Gooding County at 15,464. Of course
that’s not accurate, because it doesn’t count illegal immigrants, a few
assorted hippies in the hollows, and itinerant writers like me, who don’t fill
out the Census.
There
are a lot more or less than 15,464 people in Gooding County, and how the Census
came up with that figure could well have been by hiring illegal immigrants to
do the poll. Who knows? They had one version of the Census written in Spanish
and neither I nor most of my Spanish speaking friends and neighbors filled it
out. I have drawn a wafting conclusion that CNN and MSNBC may be doing the same
thing with their political polls.
Everybody
knows that Romney will carry Utah and Idaho. They also know that southern Idaho
is, for all practical political purposes, a suburb of Salt Lake. We produce
potatoes and pay our tithing; they produce the Gospel and sell it back to us at
a premium.
The
conservatives are worried about places like Ohio, Florida, etc. According to
the New York Times, there are about 9 ‘toss up’ states where the contest is too
close to call. The New York Times has Obama ahead today at 237 to 191 electoral
votes.
Here
are the ‘toss up’ states according to the NY Times: New Hampshire with 4 votes,
Virginia with 13, North Carolina 15, Florida 29, Ohio 18, Wisconsin 10, Iowa 6,
Colorado 9, and Nevada 6.
If
you split the toss ups right down the middle, the Times is tacitly implying that
Obama will win. But, Florida and Ohio are the big guns. Virginia and North Carolina
may split either way, most likely for Obama, or, maybe not.
Obama
will carry Nevada is my bet, because all the people who get government checks
spend that money in the casinos, and the casinos run the state. Yes, it helps
in Nevada to have Harry Reid, if you happen to vote democrat, which most of
them do.
Give
Nevada to Obama; and Colorado as well. Ken Salazar, former U. S. Senator from
Colorado, is our current Secretary of the Interior. Nevada & Colorado cut
into Florida and Ohio by 15 votes.
When
it comes down to election night, if the New York Times is correct, “You in a
heap o’ trouble, boy” will be the Democrat mantra. Writers who became
Romneyites may well be fed to the coyotes.
Listening
to the talk show radio people, mainly Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity, they are
now cussing the pollsters, and pulling out all stops for Romney. Okay. That’s
what side of the bread their butter is on, so you bet!
I
do hope and pray that the Kid from Kenya will be ousted. Not much I can do
about that from Idaho, except to say “Godspeed”. We all know Romney will win
here.
About
Nevada Nevada
Now
. . . to culminate the column, something humorous needs to be said. Since I
have no sense of humor about this election, I will go back to the proverbial
well, and dig up our old familiar ghost. What the old ghost said applies to the
‘Obama-nation’ about as well as anything:
“People
are getting smarter nowadays; they are letting lawyers, instead of their
conscience, be their guide.” ─ Will Rogers
Jack W. Chappell
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